Where the binomial distribution tells us the probability of getting a specific number of successes with replacement (i.e., equivalent with shuffling your deck, revealing the top card, noting whether its a land or not, then shuffling again and repeating), the hypergeometric distribution takes into account that card draws are, in fact, not independent (i.e., telling us the probability of getting a specific number of successes without replacement, where cards arent reinserted into the deck after being counted as a success or not)
Half the time Ragavan wont be a noteable card by Turn 4, with dash preserving some long term equity
Pilgrim's Eye
Posted in: Card Games, Games, Pokmon TCG, Tabletop | Tagged: Paldea, pokemon, pokemon cards, Pokemon TCG, Scarlet & Violet Pokmon TCG Reveals Scarlet & Violet Set Breakdown Pokmon TCG reveals the set breakdown of the first Scarlet & Violet expansion, including Art Rares, Gold Hyper Rares, and more